Intellectual-analytical platform for assessing the security risk of tourist travel
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The main goal of this study is to develop an intellectual and analytical platform for assessing the safety risk of a tourist trip. The intellectual and analytical platform for determining the safety risk of a tourist trip consists of three analytical modules: individual level of safety of a tourist trip, regional level of safety of a tourist trip, and national level of safety of a tourist trip. The essence of the intellectual and analytical platform is that, based on the assessments of participants in the tourist movement regarding their sense of their safety in the selected region, the predictability of a repeat visit and expert assessment of the level of safety of regional tourist systems, it forms both quantitative and linguistic indicators of the risk of travel safety. For the first time, an information module has been developed for assessing the level of safety of a tourist trip, covering 17 criteria for assessing one's safety at the destination. Also, three analytical modules have been developed for the first time, covering levels from individual to national: a module for term assessment of the risk of one's safety of a tourist trip; a module for assessing the level of the sense of safety of the region; a module for assessing the risk of travel safety. The input data is presented in the form of linguistic variables that reflect the impressions of the participants of the tourist movement after visiting the region and the level of their concern about their safety at the destination. The modules are based on the principles of fuzzy logic and multidimensional membership functions. Data is aggregated on the generalized safety risk of a tourist trip and the forecast of repeat visits to the region. Expert assessments of the safety of regional tourist systems are combined with the subjective level of feeling of safety among tourists. The result is both a quantitative and linguistic assessment of the safety risk of a tourist trip. The intellectual and analytical platform was verified and tested on real data of 327 respondents from Zakarpattia, Lviv, and Ivano-Frankivsk regions, and an example of its practical application for assessing.
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